Weekly football summary

Premier League predictions for sunday 9/11/2025

Match preview

Liverpool will travel to Manchester to face Manchester City. Additionally, the projected probabilities give City a 50.1% chance of victory versus Liverpool’s 26.1%. On that basis, we forecast Manchester City to win by at least a two‑goal margin — expect a commanding home performance from City and a tense, probing Liverpool response. Erling Haaland is currently the top scorer of EPL with 13 goals in 10 matches, so therefore we think he’s going to score today.

Brighton travel to Selhurst Park in London to take on Crystal Palace today, a fixture charged with intensity and local pride. However, the odds narrowly favor Crystal Palace at 42.2%. Still, the tight margins promise a tense, closely fought contest that could swing on a single moment.

Meanwhile, Newcastle United travel to Brentford Community Stadium to face Brentford in a tightly poised clash. However, models slightly favour Newcastle at 38.5% versus Brentford’s 33.6%. Consequently, the outcome hangs by a thread and promises an intense, nervy contest. Additionally, Brentford started the season brilliantly, beating Manchester United and Liverpool at home and drawing against Chelsea; let’s see if they can take on Newcastle today. However, Newcastle’s new signing, Nick Woltemade—once dubbed “a stupid waste of money”—has scored in nearly every match he’s played for the club. As a result, this match should be thrilling.

At Villa Park, Birmingham, models give Aston Villa a 40.6% edge — but we back Bournemouth to win.

Additionally, Villa Park will be loud and imposing. Yet Bournemouth’s game-plan — disciplined, quick to exploit space and stubborn under pressure — feels better suited to nick a result on the road. Antoine Semenyo has been outstanding this season. His direct running, fast feet, and eye for a decisive finish make him the kind of player who can turn a tight, nervy contest in Bournemouth’s favour. Overall, expect a high-energy, low-margin affair where Semenyo’s moments of quality could decide the outcome.

Finally, the last match this weekend is Nottingham Forest agains Leeds United at City Ground, Nottingham. However, the computer gave Forest a higher chance of winning. Even so, Leeds have more wins this season and sit 5 points clear with 11 points. Therefore, we think Leeds United will win, despite Nottingham’s home advantage.